Was sidelining Saudi Arabia’s traditional clerical soft power a strategic mistake?
Was sidelining Saudi Arabia’s traditional clerical soft power a strategic mistake? Israel’s recognition of Somaliland on 26 December 2025, and Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar’s visit to Hargeisa on 6 January 2026, forced an awkward question back onto the table: did Saudi Arabia, by putting much of its state energy into Vision 2030 while shrinking older religious patronage networks, unintentionally weaken its strategic depth in the Red Sea–Horn theatre? The African Union’s Peace and Security Council demanded that Israel revoke its recognition and reaffirmed Somalia’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. Somalia condemned the visit as an illegal breach of its sovereignty. Reuters’ own explainer on why Somaliland matters made the underlying logic plain: Berbera’s location near major shipping lanes, the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint, and the wider Red Sea insecurity have elevated Somaliland from a long-running diplomatic oddity into a premium strategic asset. At roughly the ...